Monday, 15 December 2025

Readiness, Resilience, and the Myth of Dynamics: 2 Phase Transitions as Horizon Exhaustion

Why systems “flip” when potential space runs out

The Drama of the “Flip”

Phase transitions are often treated as moments of drama.

A system reaches a critical threshold and suddenly changes state: liquid becomes solid, order collapses into chaos, cooperation turns into fragmentation. Explanations typically invoke new dynamics, emergent forces, or hidden variables finally asserting themselves.

But nothing new appears.

What disappears is room.


The Core Claim

Phase transitions are not mysterious dynamical events.
They are moments of horizon exhaustion.

A system flips not because a new principle intervenes, but because the current construal can no longer be sustained. The system cannot continue as construed without collapsing its remaining relational capacity.


Critical Thresholds as Loss of Relational Room

What is called a “critical threshold” is usually framed as a quantitative boundary: a parameter crosses a value and behaviour changes qualitatively.

Relationally, something simpler is happening.

The system has exhausted the potential space that allowed it to absorb variation while maintaining coherence. The tolerance for further differentiation has run out.

At that point:

  • persistence becomes brittle,

  • adaptation becomes impossible,

  • continuation requires a different organisation of distinctions.

The threshold marks the end of viable construal, not the start of a new force.


Bifurcations as Forced Re-Construals

Bifurcations are often described as branching futures encoded in the system’s dynamics.

But from a relational perspective, they are forced re-construals.

When readiness collapses under the current framing, the system must be re-described — and re-organised — in a way that restores relational room. What looks like a fork in dynamical space is a shift in how the system can still be meaningfully actualised.

There is no privileged path waiting in the wings. There is only the necessity to re-open horizon.


No New Forces, No Hidden Variables

Crucially, phase transitions do not require:

  • new causal agents,

  • hidden dimensions,

  • latent forces suddenly activated.

Everything needed to explain the transition was already present in the system’s relational organisation. What changed was the availability of potential space under the existing construal.

When readiness is exhausted, continuation becomes incoherent — and incoherence forces change.


Why the Mathematics Looks Dramatic

Formal models often register this exhaustion as divergence, instability, or non-linearity. Equations fail to extend smoothly; trajectories break; solutions explode.

These are not revelations about nature’s volatility. They are signs that the formalism is being asked to continue without relational room.

Mathematical drama is the symptom of exhausted horizon.


Phase Transitions Without Metaphysics

Seen this way, phase transitions lose their metaphysical charge.

They are not moments when reality reveals its true dynamical nature. They are moments when a particular way of holding the system together has reached its limit.

The transition is not an event in the system alone; it is a joint failure of:

  • the system’s remaining readiness,

  • and the construal attempting to sustain it.


Payoff

By reframing phase transitions as horizon exhaustion, we can understand system “flips” without invoking:

  • emergent mysticism,

  • dynamical inevitability,

  • or ontological drama.

What changes is not what the system is, but what it can still be — given the relational room available.

The next post will examine what happens when models mistake the collapse of readiness for the emergence of structure, and why the loss of degrees of freedom so often masquerades as order.

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